Large-scale gatherings won't return until fall 2021

What is certain about the COVID-19 pandemic is that the world will no longer be the same. Except that this is perhaps the strangest epidemic these generations remember, both in terms of spread, treatment, unpredictability, and the overall attitude of the public and people in general to this mysterious virus and its consequences. There are many aspects to the analysis that would confirm that this is a very strange epidemic, and one of them is certain that it will return in waves. Experts say a second wave of the epidemic is already underway in China.

Also, some argue that the COVID-19 epidemic will erupt again in November, though not as catastrophically as these months, as health systems become more prepared. However, in some countries where low-level public health systems can again record high mortality rates.

Not to mention social life, which is very important for the mental health of people. It is estimated that this aspect of life, although not so important at first glance, will be subject to major changes, that is, a major decline. In other words, all that we are used to in the sense of gathering, socialising, going to clubs and concerts will be reduced in the coming period, and will probably undergo permanent changes in the future. You know already when new assessments and prevention go, the decline in immunity due to stress and panic, and these same measures of prevention, I think, will determine and affect social life.

So, for example, according to experts, music concerts will not start again until the fall of 2021. Probably, I am thinking out loud, the relationship and behaviour at concerts will never be the same again, which is because of future prevention, which is due to the global shock caused by this mysterious pandemic. And not just concerts, large-scale gatherings such as conferences, sport events, beside live concerts won’t be safe to attend until “fall 2021 at the earliest,” according to Zeke Emmanuel, director of the Healthcare Transformation Institute at the University of Pennsylvania.

Emmanuel was part of an expert panel assembled by the New York Times on life after the COVID-19 pandemic. The problem, according to Emmanuel, is “You can’t just flip a switch and open the whole of society up. It’s just not going to work. It’s too much. The virus will definitely flare back to the worst levels." As he sees it, “restarting the economy has to be done in stages,” and crowded events will be the last part of our old lives to return.

He said: “It does have to start with more physical distancing at a work site that allows people who are at lower risk to come back. Certain kinds of construction, or manufacturing or offices, in which you can maintain six-foot distances are more reasonable to start sooner. Larger gatherings — conferences, concerts, sporting events — when people say they’re going to reschedule this conference or graduation event for October 2020, I have no idea how they think that’s a plausible possibility. I think those things will be the last to return. Realistically we’re talking fall 2021 at the earliest.”

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